Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 2 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)
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Ferroviário Fortaleza |
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Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.52 |
2.75 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.62 |
2.79 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.64 |
2.92 |
2.78 |
 Watch |
 |
2.49 |
2.84 |
2.81 |
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 |
2.3 |
3.05 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.2) |
2.86 ↓
(3.2) |
2.82 ↓
(3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ferroviário Fortaleza
36.2% | Draw
31.6% | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviário Fortaleza's form might have worsened.Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviário (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.Ferroviário has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).ASA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Copa do Nordeste | | | 06.01.24 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 1:2 penalties | | 05.01.23 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 2:1 penalties |
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