Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Waldomiro Borges Stadium (Jequié)


	Jequié		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.66
	3.8	2.98	1.95
	3.9	2.98	2.02
	3.88	2.45	2.41	Watch
	4.19	2.95	1.92
	4.49	3.41	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (4.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.55)	1.94 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jequié
22.3%

Draw
30.3%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

25.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

24.4%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jequié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jequié - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent form of Jequié has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, ASA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jequié may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ASA is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jequié won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jequié
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	União Carmolandense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Juazeirense - Jequié	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Jequié - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
16.06.25	Lagarto - Jequié	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Jequié - Penedense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.25	Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - União Carmolandense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jequié	4:2

Jequié - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide