Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ismael Benigno (Manaus)


	Manauara		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.4	3.3
	2.72	2.32	3.15
	2.86	2.25	3.44
	2.72	2.31	3.57	Watch
	2.55	2.53	3.22
	2.27	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)	2.49 ↓ (3.1)	3.25 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manauara
35.2%

Draw
36.7%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

31.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manauara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Manauara - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 1, Keliton ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Manauara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ASA is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manauara EC
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Manauara - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Manauara	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Independência - Manauara	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Manauara - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:0 ✺
13.07.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manauara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLWL
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Juazeirense	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Jequié - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTW

Manauara - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide