Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Manauara

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	2.1	2.92	3.4
	2.13	3.1	3.63
	2.02	3.32	3.31
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.74)	3.19 ↓ (3.53)	3.5 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
45.4%

Draw
28.6%

Manauara
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa's form might have worsened.

Manauara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Sampaio Corrêa - Manauara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Manauara (3.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Manauara (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Everson ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Yan ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sampaio Corrêa might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Parnahyba - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Tocantinópolis	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Imperatriz de Desportos	3:0 ✺
28.06.25	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWWL
- Manauara EC
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Independência - Manauara	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Manauara - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:0 ✺
13.07.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manauara	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Águia de Marabá - Manauara	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Manauara - Manaus	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWT

Sampaio Corrêa - Manauara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide