Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Nacional de Patos

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.6
	1.9	2.9	4.05
	1.91	2.91	4.07
	1.9	3.22	4
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.06)	3 (3)	3.89 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
46.6%

Draw
30.2%

Nacional de Patos
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

30.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

ASA is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ASA will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
23.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	3:2 ✺
15.07.23	Bahia de Feira - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:2 ✺
01.07.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Falcon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWTW
- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Serie D
23.07.23	Potiguar - Nacional de Patos	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Nacional de Patos - Iguatu	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Nacional de Patos	2:2 ✺
28.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Campinense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLTW

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Nacional de Patos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide