Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 11

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Nacional de Patos

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.95	3	4
	1.95	2.95	3.82
	1.97	3.24	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.76)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	3.8 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
46.6%

Draw
29.6%

Nacional de Patos
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

30.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz Recife's form might have worsened.

Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional de Patos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Cruz Recife - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional de Patos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santa Cruz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.23	Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
17.06.23	Pacajus - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
14.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Globo FC	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Globo FC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Pacajus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWT
- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Campinense	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Globo FC - Nacional de Patos	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Pacajus - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Globo FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.05.23	Nacional de Patos - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2

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