Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Ofelia Rosenzuaig (Buenos Aires)


	Agropecuario Argentino		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.82	4.00
	2.10	3.00	3.50
	2.17	3.00	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.07	4.02
	2.15	3.03	3.74	Watch
	2.12	3.00	3.80
	2.11	2.89	4.02
	2.08	2.90	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)	2.96 ↑ (2.86)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agropecuario Argentino
43.9%

Draw
31.3%

Gimnasia y Tiro
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

32.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

32.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta L. (G) 7. Aranda B. 8. Castro R. 9. Gagliardi A. 5. Gallucci S. (C) 2. Lecanda T. 6. Perez A. 3. Ramos M. 11. Ruiz Diaz D. 4. Sanchez F. 10. Vega J.	1. Cosentino F. (G) 5. Birge M. (C) 9. Contin N. 4. Galetto J. 2. Guanini M. 3. Montoya L. 10. Rinaldi N. 7. Rocca J. 11. Rojas F. 8. Sivetti F. 6. Soto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castro R. ↓, Mosqueira R. ↑,
54', Gagliardi A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Sivetti F. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
58', Rocca J. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
67', Soto G. 🟨,
68', Birge M. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
72', Montoya L. 🟨,
75', Montoya L. 🟨,
77', Rojas F. ↓, Oviedo J. C. ↑,
77', Rinaldi N. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
77', Sanchez F. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
85', Ruiz Diaz D. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Auzqui C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Vega J. ↓, Pereyra N. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Gimnasia y Tiro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Agropecuario holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Agropecuario has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia y Tiro - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.7%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Tristán Suárez - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.09.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:3

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