The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Tiro 45.9%
Draw 32.1%
Chacarita Juniors 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
31.4%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
29.3%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Tiro's form might have worsened.
Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chacarita Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Tiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
27.3%
0%
Gimnasia y Tiro - Chacarita Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia y Tiro: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Papaleo J. (G) 4. Galetto J. 2. Guanini M. 6. Soto G. 3. Aguirre J. 5. Sivetti F. 8. Banega T. 11. Rojas F. 10. Rinaldi N. 7. Rocca J. 9. Gordillo L.
1. Losas F. (G) 4. Leyendeker M. 2. Vittor S. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Chaves N. 5. Perez T. (C) 10. Guanca C. 8. Cuero M. 7. Melendez M. 11. Sanabria M. 9. Dominguez A.
Substitutes
18. Birge M. 17. Capano J. 20. Contin N. 14. Montoya L. 12. Nogales S. 13. Oviedo J. C. 19. Rodriguez P. A. 15. Tallura A. 16. Villarreal R.
16. Bustos L. 14. Calderara B. 19. Cristaldo F. 18. Dell Aquila N. 17. dos Santos T. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 20. Gerez E. 13. Migliore T. 15. Perdomo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Rinaldi N. 🟨,
38', Pantaleone N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rocca J. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
46', Rinaldi N. ↓, Montoya L. ↑,
65', Sivetti F. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
70', Cuero M. ↓, Perdomo L. ↑,
77', Pantaleone N. 🟨,
78', Chaves N. ↓, Calderara B. ↑,
78', Guanca C. ↓, Migliore T. ↑,
78', Banega T. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
81', Galetto J. 🟨,
82', Aguirre J. 🟨,
87', Dominguez A. ↓, Gerez E. ↑,
87', Sanabria M. ↓, Dell Aquila N. ↑,
90', Melendez M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Gordillo L. ⚽, Soto G. (A),
90+2', Contin N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Gimnasia y Tiro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chacarita is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Gimnasia y Tiro has had a series of away games.
In this match, Gimnasia y Tiro is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
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Papaleo J. (G) 
Cuero M. 
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