Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 19

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Excelsior Stadium (Airdrie)

Referee: Lambie S. (Sco)


	Airdrieonians		Inverness

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.27	3.2	3.47
	2.28	3.15	3.47
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.22	3.24	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.18)	3.19 ↓ (3.33)	3.23 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
42.2%

Draw
29.1%

Inverness
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Airdrieonians - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Inverness will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inverness: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 15. Megwa K. 4. McCabe R. 6. Fordyce C. 5. Hancock M. 10. Frizzell A. (C) 16. Watson C. 21. Telfer Ch. 23. McGill G. 11. Todorov N. 28. Gallagher G.	1. Ridgers M. (G) 2. Duffy W. 44. Ujdur N. 20. Boyes M. 14. Davidson J. 7. Gilmour C. 4. Welsh S. (C) 3. Harper C. 15. Anderson M. 19. Longstaff L. 22. Shaw N.
Substitutes
29. Cassidy J. 19. Dunlop E. 9. Gallagher C. 43. Hutton D. (G) 8. McGregor L. 14. McMaster D. 12. McStravick L. 7. O'Connor J. 27. Rowley C.	24. Brooks A. 8. Carson D. 5. Delaney Z. 10. Doran A. 12. MacGregor R. 21. Mackay C. (G) 9. McKay B. 34. Sheridan C. 29. Thompson R.
Coaches
McCabe R.	Ferguson D.

Preview

Airdrieonians is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Inverness is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Airdrieonians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
30.12.23	Queens Park - Airdrieonians	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ayr United - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLL
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
30.12.23	Inverness - Greenock Morton	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Partick Thistle - Inverness	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Inverness - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
12.12.23	Greenock Morton - Inverness	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Queens Park - Inverness	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
28.10.23	Inverness - Airdrieonians	1:0
26.08.23	Airdrieonians - Inverness	2:1
Scottish League Cup
25.07.23	Inverness - Airdrieonians	2:3

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