Match Info

Championship - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Firhill Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: Anderson E. (Sco)


	Partick Thistle		Airdrieonians

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5	Watch
	1.6	3.85	5.15	Watch
	1.63	3.8	5.12
	1.57	4.14	5.39	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5
	1.65	3.73	5.59	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)	3.79 ↓ (3.84)	5.18 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
57.7%

Draw
24.4%

Airdrieonians
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partick Thistle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-3%)

Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Clarke J. (G) 24. McPherson B. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 20. O'Reilly D. 3. Reading P. 8. Smyth O. 64. Letsosa T. 10. Chalmers L. 26. Stanway B. 32. Watt T. 9. Samuel A.	50. Stone H. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 16. Ross C. 12. McArthur C. 3. Strapp L. 6. McMaster D. (C) 15. Thomas D. 18. Barjonas J. 17. McGrattan L. 7. Mochrie C. R. 11. Henderson E.
Substitutes
1. Budinauckas L. (G) 14. Crawford R. 18. Diack R. 39. Falconer M. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 44. Gray D. 22. Loughrey C. 19. McBeth L. 6. Turner K.	25. Constable S. 14. Devine A. 8. Gallagher G. 33. Hastie J. 10. Mahon R. 4. McGinty S. 24. McKinnon C. 20. Melrose C. (G) 23. Telfer Ch.
Coaches
Wilson M.	Taylor-Sinclair A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Barjonas J. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Stanway B. ⚽,
39', Reading P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Chalmers L. ↓, Fitzpatrick A. ↑,
58', Barjonas J. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
58', Thomas D. ↓, McKinnon C. ↑,
62', Smyth O. 🟨,
66', Stanway B. 🟨,
66', Stanway B. ↓, Crawford R. ↑,
72', Ashcroft L. 🟨,
79', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
79', McMaster D. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
82', Letsosa T. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
88', Watt T. 🟨,
90', McArthur C. 🟨,
90+3', McKinnon C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 2.

Partick is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Airdrieonians has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Partick is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	9	5	3	1	10:3	7	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Elgin City - Partick Thistle	2:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
30.01.26	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Partick Thistle - Montrose	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Partick Thistle - Inverness	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWL
- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
13.02.26	Airdrieonians - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
06.02.26	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren	1:2 ET ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.26	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
31.01.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Airdrieonians - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
07.11.25	Airdrieonians - Partick Thistle	1:1
12.09.25	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	2:1
05.04.25	Airdrieonians - Partick Thistle	2:1
22.02.25	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	1:1
21.12.24	Airdrieonians - Partick Thistle	0:2
19.10.24	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	2:1
10.05.24	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	2:1

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