Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Firhill Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	Partick Thistle		Inverness

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.3	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.4	3.35
	1.94	3.59	3.41	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.94	3.35	3.51
	2	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
46.4%

Draw
27.2%

Inverness
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Partick Thistle - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Partick will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Inverness will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Partick Thistle will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Chalmers L. ⚽, Turner K. (A),
23', 1 - 1, MacIntyre O. ⚽, Sole L. (A),
39', 1 - 2, McKay B. ⚽, Bavidge A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 2 - 2, Loughrey C. ⚽, Fitzpatrick A. (A),
62', 3 - 2, Samuel A. ⚽,
84', 3 - 3, McKay B. ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Chalmers L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Allan P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Turner K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Zimba C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, McBeth L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, McKay B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fitzpatrick A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Wotherspoon D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Inverness may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Inverness has had a series of away games.

Partick is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
09.01.26	Ross County - Partick Thistle	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
27.12.25	Queens Park - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Cove Rangers - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTTW
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
10.01.26	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Montrose - Inverness	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Dumbarton - Inverness	0:9 ✺
Scottish League One
13.12.25	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.07.25	Partick Thistle - Inverness	3:2
Scottish Football Championship
30.03.24	Partick Thistle - Inverness	1:0
17.02.24	Inverness - Partick Thistle	3:3
23.12.23	Partick Thistle - Inverness	1:1
07.10.23	Inverness - Partick Thistle	0:0
24.03.23	Inverness - Partick Thistle	1:0
23.12.22	Partick Thistle - Inverness	5:1

Upcoming Matches