Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Montrose FC Live, SPFL Player


	Airdrieonians		Montrose

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.60	3.50
	1.88	3.30	3.40
	1.72	3.75	3.65
	1.95	3.44	3.68
	2.08	3.53	3.27	Watch
	1.93	3.35	3.60
	1.91	3.72	3.61	Watch
	1.91	3.45	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.07)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.53 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
48.1%

Draw
26%

Montrose
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

26.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Airdrieonians - Montrose Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sneddon J. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 4. Ross C. (C) 31. Gallagher D. 5. Fisher S. 16. Smith C. 6. Simpson E. 8. Gallagher G. 24. Tumilty R. 27. Gibson L. 25. Gentles J.	1. Gill C. (G) 7. Webster G. 4. Quinn A. (C) 5. McGinty S. 3. Duffy F. 22. Craig H. 8. Barjonas J. 15. Oosenbrugh C. 11. Lyons B. 19. Oliver G. 16. Sutherland J.
Substitutes
12. Boateng K. 11. Bridge A. 14. Devine A. 29. Iserhienrhien D. 7. Mahon R. 9. Mebude D. 20. Melrose C. (G) 33. Taylor K. 10. Yates M.	6. Byrne S. 21. Campbell M. (G) 24. Clelland A. 14. Dillon S. 17. Donaldson F. 10. Glass D. 9. Loudon E. 18. Mochrie A. 2. Williamson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Lyons B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Gibson L. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Barjonas J. 🟨,
61', Fisher S. 🟨,
65', Tumilty R. 🟨,
67', Gentles J. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
67', Webster G. ↓, Byrne S. ↑,
67', Sutherland J. ↓, Loudon E. ↑,
73', Fisher S. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
73', Tumilty R. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
77', Craig H. ↓, Glass D. ↑,
84', Gibson L. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
84', Gallagher G. ↓, Iserhienrhien D. ↑,
88', Smith C. 🟨,
89', Oosenbrugh C. 🟨,
90+2', Yates M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 5.

Airdrieonians arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Montrose has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Airdrieonians is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Airdrieonians has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:31 (averaging 2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Airdrieonians against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 24:14 goals (averaging 2.4:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Montrose: 1.29% Airdrieonians: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13:14	-1	15
5	Airdrieonians	9	3	3	3	7:11	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Airdrieonians - Berwick Rangers	7:1 ✺
22.09.26	Bonnyrigg Rose - Airdrieonians	1:6 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Airdrieonians - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Montrose FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Formartine United - Montrose	3:2 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	East Fife - Montrose	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Montrose - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Montrose - Dundee 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
06.01.26	Airdrieonians - Montrose	3:1
Scottish League Cup
23.07.25	Montrose - Airdrieonians	1:2
Scottish League One
08.04.23	Airdrieonians - Montrose	3:0
23.12.22	Montrose - Airdrieonians	2:4
29.10.22	Airdrieonians - Montrose	4:0
04.10.22	Montrose - Airdrieonians	4:2
Scottish Football Championship
07.05.22	Airdrieonians - Montrose	6:4 ET

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