Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Airdrieonians		St. Mirren

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.5
	5.5	4.05	1.55
	6.47	4.08	1.51
	17.25	6.19	1.16	Watch
	6	3.75	1.53
	5.71	3.94	1.55
	5.75	4	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.49 ↑ (6.1)	4.3 ↓ (4.38)	1.48 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
12.8%

Draw
22.3%

St. Mirren
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

20.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.5%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Mirren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Airdrieonians - St. Mirren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Stone H. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 16. Ross C. 12. McArthur C. 3. Strapp L. 6. McMaster D. (C) 23. Telfer Ch. 24. McKinnon C. 18. Barjonas J. 7. Mochrie C. R. 11. Henderson E.	1. George S. (G) 22. Fraser M. (C) 5. King R. 21. Freckleton M. 2. Richardson J. 88. Phillips K. 8. Devaney J. 13. Gogic A. 24. John D. 9. Mandron M. 20. Young J.
Substitutes
34. Aird A. 25. Constable S. 14. Devine A. 8. Gallagher G. 33. Hastie J. 4. McGinty S. 17. McGrattan L. 20. Melrose C. (G) 38. Smith J.	17. Calvin J. 18. Dijksteel M. 4. Donnelly L. 29. Etete K. 7. Idowu R. 10. McMenamin C. 31. Mullen R. (G) 19. Sobowale T. 3. Tanser S.
Coaches
Taylor-Sinclair A.	Robinson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Devaney J. ⚽, Mandron M. (A),
35', Young J. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Richardson J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
63', Devaney J. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
65', MacDonald D. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Henderson E. ⚽, Barjonas J. (A),
72', Telfer Ch. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
78', Barjonas J. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', McMaster D. ↓, Constable S. ↑,
91', Etete K. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
105', Phillips K. 🟨,
111', Phillips K. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
115', 1 - 2, Idowu R. ⚽, George S. (A),
118', McKinnon C. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,

Preview

Airdrieonians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, St. Mirren has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Airdrieonians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, St. Mirren is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Scottish Cup for now

St. Mirren: 1.2% Airdrieonians: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.26	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
31.01.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Airdrieonians - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	4:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
10.01.26	Ayr United - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWLWT
- St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League
03.02.26	St. Mirren - Hearts	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	St. Mirren - Dundee	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Livingston - St. Mirren	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Livingston - St. Mirren	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.25	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren	0:2
Scottish League Cup
19.07.22	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren	2:0
29.07.17	St. Mirren - Airdrieonians	5:0

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