Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	Amazon Prime Video, Canal+ Family
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Ajaccio		Lille

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.25	3.25	2.3
	3.25	3.15	2.31
	3.27	3.18	2.49
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.24	3.22	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.75)	3.17 ↓ (3.46)	2.32 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
29.2%

Draw
29.9%

Lille
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	22.8%	61.4%

Ajaccio - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 16 - 15.8%). Lille will win (votes: 62 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 22.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 51.9% – 70.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 20 (12.96%), has project points - 40, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lille has the most likely position - 5 (9.82%), has project points - 59, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (19%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, importance 40, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ajaccio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Ajaccio have a series of guest games.

Lille will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury) Moussiti-Oko B. (Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Cabella R. (Injury) Weah T. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
21.08.22	Rennes - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Ajaccio - Lens	0:0 ✺
05.08.22	Lyon - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Lorient - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
09.07.22	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTL
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
21.08.22	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:7 ✺
12.08.22	Nantes - Lille	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Lille - Auxerre	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Cádiz - Lille	0:1 ✺
24.07.22	Espanyol - Lille	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.03.14	Ajaccio - Lille	2:3
05.10.13	Lille - Ajaccio	3:0
23.02.13	Ajaccio - Lille	1:3
06.10.12	Lille - Ajaccio	2:0
15.04.12	Lille - Ajaccio	4:1

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