Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Lorient		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.49	4.1	6.75
	1.47	4	7
	1.5	4.29	6.94
	1.5	4.2	6.8	Watch
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.5	4.15	6.95	Watch
	1.47	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	4.12 ↑ (3.77)	6.84 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
63.4%

Draw
22.8%

Ajaccio
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.5%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Lorient - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorient will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 24. Kalulu G. 22. Kroupi E. J. 27. Tosin A. 6. Abergel L. (C) 32. Adjei N. 5. Mendy F. 62. Avom A. 9. Bamba M. 77. Katseris P. 66. James I.	16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. (C) 31. Ayessa J. 88. Bamba A. 43. Kouassi A. 3. Quemper S. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 21. Chegra I. 25. Anziani J. 7. Touzghar Y. 9. Ibayi C.
Substitutes
60. Genton E. 61. Hatchi J. 1. Leroy B. (G) 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 21. Ponceau J. 28. Soumano S. 44. Yongwa D.	27. Kante A. 6. Mangani T. 1. Michel M. (G) 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 22. Soumano M. 11. Toure B. 5. Vidal C.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Chabert M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Jabol-Folcarelli T. 🟥,
19', Touzghar Y. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
42', James I. 🟨,
42', Mangani T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', James I. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
56', Katseris P. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
56', Tosin A. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
57', Avom A. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
62', Soumano S. 🟨,
64', Chegra I. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
64', Ibayi C. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Mvuka Mugisha J. (A),
75', Quemper S. ↓, Puch-Herrantz M. ↑,
77', Bamba M. ↓, Genton E. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Abergel L. (A),
83', Anziani J. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Genton E. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Lorient won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
24.09.24	Pau - Lorient	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Metz - Lorient	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Lorient - Red Star	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Amiens - Lorient	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Lorient - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
24.09.24	Ajaccio - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Ajaccio - Troyes	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Red Star - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.02.23	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0
04.09.22	Ajaccio - Lorient	0:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Lorient - Ajaccio	1:1
French Ligue 2
07.03.20	Ajaccio - Lorient	1:0
04.10.19	Lorient - Ajaccio	0:0
01.02.19	Lorient - Ajaccio	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
28.08.18	Ajaccio - Lorient	0:1

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