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Current Win Probability
Lyon 69.4%
Draw 19%
Ajaccio 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
19.5%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
7.7%
15.4%
Lyon - Ajaccio Predictions
Users Predictions:
104 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 80 - 76.9%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 16 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 68.8% – 85%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Lyon has the most likely position - 2 (15.06%), has project points - 65, has currently - 0, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (33%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 20 (12.11%), has project points - 41, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, importance42, match rating51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lyon won 3.
Recent matches Lyon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lyon have a series of guest games.
In this match Lyon is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Lyon: Caqueret M.
(Ankle Injury)
Dembele M.
(Injury)
Faivre R.
(Injury)
Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Lyon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.