Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Nantes		Lille

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.67	Watch
	4.95	3.75	1.72
	5.31	3.9	1.7
	5.31	3.86	1.62	Watch
	5.1	3.98	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.28)	3.86 ↑ (3.67)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
18.7%

Draw
24.8%

Lille
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.3%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	24.2%	60.6%

Nantes - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Lille will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Lille (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 66. Leroux L. 80. Mwanga J. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 17. Tabibou D. 10. Abline M. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 11. Guirassy B.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 18. Mbemba Ch. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 27. Correia F. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
90. Benhattab Y. 14. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 3. Cozza N. 24. Deuff B. 19. El Arabi Y. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 26. Radakovic U. 35. Ziani S.	16. Bodart A. (G) 38. Goffi A. 26. Gomes A. 29. Igamane H. 8. Mbappe E. 3. Ngoy N. 28. Raghouber U. 11. Sahraoui O. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Castro L.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Giroud O. (A),
21', Meunier T. 🟨,
43', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
63', Guirassy B. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
68', Andre B. 🟨,
69', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
72', Genesio B. 🟨,
74', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
76', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
81', Perraud R. 🟨,
82', Correia F. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
82', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
83', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Radakovic U. ↑,
87', Awaziem C. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, Igamane H. ⚽, Sahraoui O. (A),
90+1', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
90+1', Haraldsson H. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lille is the team to beat.

There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Lahdo M. (Inactive) Lepenant J. (Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bentaleb N. (Inactive) Mukau N. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:34. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
04.10.25	Brest - Nantes	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Toulouse - Nantes	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nantes - Rennes	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTTLW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
05.10.25	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Roma - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Lille - Lyon	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Lille - Brann	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.03.25	Nantes - Lille	1:0
04.01.25	Lille - Nantes	1:1
12.05.24	Nantes - Lille	1:2
20.08.23	Lille - Nantes	2:0
27.05.23	Lille - Nantes	2:1
12.08.22	Nantes - Lille	1:1
19.03.22	Nantes - Lille	0:1

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