Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	15:45	Disney+
China	02:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 4
Mexico	12:45	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	19:45	SuperSport Action
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	20:45	Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, Inter


	Nantes		Lille

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.67	Watch
	4.95	3.75	1.72
	5.31	3.9	1.7
	5.31	3.86	1.62	Watch
	5.1	3.98	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.28)	3.86 ↑ (3.67)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
18.7%

Draw
24.8%

Lille
56.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.3%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	24.2%	60.6%

Nantes - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Lille will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Lille (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 66. Leroux L. 80. Mwanga J. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 17. Tabibou D. 10. Abline M. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 11. Guirassy B.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 18. Mbemba Ch. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 27. Correia F. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
90. Benhattab Y. 14. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 3. Cozza N. 24. Deuff B. 19. El Arabi Y. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 26. Radakovic U. 35. Ziani S.	16. Bodart A. (G) 38. Goffi A. 26. Gomes A. 29. Igamane H. 8. Mbappe E. 3. Ngoy N. 28. Raghouber U. 11. Sahraoui O. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Castro L.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Giroud O. (A),
21', Meunier T. 🟨,
43', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
63', Guirassy B. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
68', Andre B. 🟨,
69', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
72', Genesio B. 🟨,
74', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
76', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
81', Perraud R. 🟨,
82', Correia F. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
82', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
83', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Radakovic U. ↑,
87', Awaziem C. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, Igamane H. ⚽, Sahraoui O. (A),
90+1', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
90+1', Haraldsson H. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lille is the team to beat.

There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Lahdo M. (Inactive) Lepenant J. (Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bentaleb N. (Inactive) Mukau N. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:34. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
04.10.25	Brest - Nantes	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Toulouse - Nantes	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nantes - Rennes	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTTLW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
05.10.25	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Roma - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Lille - Lyon	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Lille - Brann	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.03.25	Nantes - Lille	1:0
04.01.25	Lille - Nantes	1:1
12.05.24	Nantes - Lille	1:2
20.08.23	Lille - Nantes	2:0
27.05.23	Lille - Nantes	2:1
12.08.22	Nantes - Lille	1:1
19.03.22	Nantes - Lille	0:1

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