Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	Amazon Prime Video
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 2 MAX
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Ajaccio		Lens

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.35
	3.15	3.15	2.38
	3.25	3.1	2.32
	3.43	3.22	2.38
	3.3	3	2.35	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.97)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	2.34 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
29.1%

Draw
30.3%

Lens
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Ajaccio - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Lens will win (votes: 27 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 36.7% – 63.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 20 (11.66%), has project points - 41, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lens has the most likely position - 5 (8.14%), has project points - 57, has currently - 3, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (15%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 58, importance 36, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.

Lens is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lens have a series of home games.

Lens will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Hamouma R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Lens: Buksa A. (Broken ankle) Farinez W. (Knee Injury) Fofana S. (Injury) Fortes S. (Injury) Kakuta G. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
05.08.22	Lyon - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Lorient - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
09.07.22	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Ajaccio - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Grenoble - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWT
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
07.08.22	Lens - Brest	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Lens - West Ham United	0:0 ✺
23.07.22	Lens - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Lens - Clermont	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Rodez - Lens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.12.19	Ajaccio - Lens	1:2
10.05.19	Ajaccio - Lens	0:2
22.12.18	Lens - Ajaccio	1:2
23.04.18	Ajaccio - Lens	2:0
28.11.17	Lens - Ajaccio	2:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
08.08.17	Lens - Ajaccio	2:1
French Ligue 2
10.04.17	Ajaccio - Lens	3:6

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