Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Rodez		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.6
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.81	3.48	5.05
	1.83	3.36	4.52	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.4
	1.88	3.59	4.44	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)	3.44 ↓ (3.75)	4.56 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
51.9%

Draw
27.4%

Ajaccio
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Rodez - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 15. Cissokho T. 19. Mazou-Sacko D. 21. Chougrani J. 11. Bouchouari M. 25. Galves N. 5. Cadiou N. 10. Taibi W. 8. Younoussa W. 22. Bentayeb T. 9. Nkada T.	16. Sollacaro F. (G) 5. Vidal C. 88. Bamba A. 23. Strata T. 43. Kouassi A. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 4. Barreto M. 12. Huard M. 22. Soumano M. 25. Anziani J. 27. Kante A.
Substitutes
28. Abdallah A. 18. Balde I. 1. Cibois S. (G) 20. Jean D. 24. Laurent L. 4. Mambo S. 26. Verdier Y.	31. Ayessa J. 21. Chegra I. 6. Mangani T. . Merouga B. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 11. Toure B.
Coaches
Santini D.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', Barreto M. 🟨,
1', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Soumano M. ⚽, Barreto M. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Barreto M. ⚽, Kante A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Bentayeb T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
60', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Nkada T. (Pen),
64', Nkada T. 🟨,
68', Kante A. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
68', Chougrani J. 🟨,
74', Chougrani J. ↓, Mambo S. ↑,
76', Barreto M. ↓, Puch-Herrantz M. ↑,
77', Anziani J. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
85', Soumano M. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
86', Galves N. ↓, Jean D. ↑,
86', Cissokho T. ↓, Laurent L. ↑,
90', Sollacaro F. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 1.

Recent matches Rodez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rodez is a favorite.

There will not play in Rodez: Lipinski R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Mangani T. (Injury) Toure A. (Injury) Toure B. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury) Youssouf M. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rodez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
17.01.25	Guingamp - Rodez	3:0 ✺
10.01.25	Rodez - Troyes	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Rodez - Red Star	0:2 ✺
13.12.24	Clermont - Rodez	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Rodez - Pau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
17.01.25	Ajaccio - Caen	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Bastia - Ajaccio	4:0 ✺
03.01.25	Ajaccio - Annecy	1:2 ✺
13.12.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Ajaccio - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.08.24	Ajaccio - Rodez	1:0
17.05.24	Rodez - Ajaccio	2:0
05.08.23	Ajaccio - Rodez	1:1
26.02.22	Ajaccio - Rodez	2:1
18.09.21	Rodez - Ajaccio	0:2
02.03.21	Ajaccio - Rodez	1:0
07.11.20	Rodez - Ajaccio	0:1

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