The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajaccio 58.2%
Draw 26.3%
Niort 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
27.5%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.5%
22.3%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajaccio's performance.
Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
10.4%
6.2%
Ajaccio - Niort Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ajaccio will win
(40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 2 (13.57%), has project points - 63, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Niort has the most likely position - 18 (10.4%), has project points - 42, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ajaccio in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Niort is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Niort could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ajaccio to win the game is with odds 1.73.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.
Watch
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