Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Ajaccio		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.9	5	Watch
	1.85	2.95	5.25
	1.88	3.15	4.3	Watch
	1.82	2.95	5
	1.9	3.14	5.24
	1.83	3	5	Watch
	1.86	3.22	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.13)	3.04 ↓ (3.23)	4.96 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
50.5%

Draw
30.7%

Nîmes
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajaccio's performance.

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nîmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Ajaccio - Nîmes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 7).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 4 (41.22%), has project points - 65, has currently - 52, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 6 (16.18%), has project points - 52, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, small importance 19, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0.

Ajaccio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nîmes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
15.03.22	Quevilly - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Ajaccio - Bastia	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Niort - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Ajaccio - Rodez	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Sochaux - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWWW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
15.03.22	Nîmes - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Le Havre - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Nîmes - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Amiens - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
19.02.22	Nîmes - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.10.21	Nîmes - Ajaccio	0:2
Club Friendly
19.07.19	Nîmes - Ajaccio	2:2
French Ligue 2
02.02.18	Nîmes - Ajaccio	1:1
08.09.17	Ajaccio - Nîmes	1:4
12.05.17	Nîmes - Ajaccio	3:1
16.12.16	Ajaccio - Nîmes	1:2
02.02.16	Ajaccio - Nîmes	2:0

Ajaccio - Nîmes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide