Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Sochaux		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.8
	2.15	2.8	4	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.9
	2.21	2.84	4.35
	2.15	2.8	3.9	Watch
	2.16	3.04	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)	2.9 ↓ (3.01)	3.94 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
44%

Draw
32.3%

Ajaccio
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

22.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sochaux - Ajaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion)).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 3 (29.61%), has project points - 65, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 4 (23.06%), has project points - 61, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 54, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 0.

Sochaux is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sochaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
12.02.22	Grenoble - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Sochaux - Amiens	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Dunkerque - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
15.01.22	Sochaux - Caen	3:2 ✺
08.01.22	Le Havre - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
12.02.22	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
07.02.22	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
28.01.22	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
24.01.22	Caen - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
19.01.22	Amiens - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
11.09.21	Ajaccio - Sochaux	1:0
02.02.21	Sochaux - Ajaccio	0:2
26.09.20	Ajaccio - Sochaux	1:1
25.10.19	Sochaux - Ajaccio	0:2
18.01.19	Sochaux - Ajaccio	0:0
10.08.18	Ajaccio - Sochaux	2:3
23.02.18	Ajaccio - Sochaux	3:2

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