Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Niort		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	2.05	Watch
	4.1	2.85	2.1
	4.15	3	2	Watch
	4.1	2.85	2.02
	4.53	2.98	2.09
	3.25	2.62	2.55	Watch
	4.3	2.88	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (2.54)	2.88 ↓ (3.12)	2.13 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
23%

Draw
32.8%

Ajaccio
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

21.1%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niort's form might have worsened.

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Niort - Ajaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion)).

Niort has the most likely position - 10 (10.62%), has project points - 50, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 3 (35.14%), has project points - 66, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 29, small importance 26, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 0.

Niort has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Niort won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
26.02.22	Guingamp - Niort	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Niort - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
15.02.22	Grenoble - Niort	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Amiens - Niort	3:1 ✺
05.02.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
26.02.22	Ajaccio - Rodez	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Sochaux - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
07.02.22	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
28.01.22	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.09.21	Ajaccio - Niort	0:0
17.04.21	Ajaccio - Niort	3:0
12.12.20	Niort - Ajaccio	2:0
03.12.19	Niort - Ajaccio	0:1
08.02.19	Ajaccio - Niort	1:0
31.08.18	Niort - Ajaccio	2:0
11.05.18	Ajaccio - Niort	2:2

Niort - Ajaccio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide