Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Ajaccio		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.88	4.75	Watch
	2	2.85	4.5
	2	2.9	4.5	Watch
	1.98	3.11	4.79
	2.04	2.86	5.11
	1.91	2.8	4.6
	2.02	2.95	4.4	Watch
	1.95	2.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.74)	2.9 ↓ (3.26)	4.68 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
47.5%

Draw
32.4%

Valenciennes
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

28.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

28.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	10.3%	3.4%

Ajaccio - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajaccio will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 35. Khelifa A. 5. Vidal C. 3. Quemper S. 6. Mangani T. (C) 10. Bammou Y. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 11. Toure B. 7. Nouri R. 9. Touzghar Y.	16. Louchet J. (G) 4. Moore T. 5. Poha J. 36. Blancquart G. 3. Basse S. 8. Banse S. 6. Masson J. (C) 34. Lilepo M. 99. Haouari Y. 20. Hamache I. 17. Boutoutaou A.
Substitutes
33. De Bessa J. 19. Jacob V. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 37. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 18. Soumano M. 31. Strata T.	30. Diabate L. (G) 47. Diagouraga T. 18. Jung A. 44. Kayi Sanda J. 23. Kruse D. 10. Venema N. 15. Woudenberg L.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Kantari A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.

Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Valenciennes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Auxerre - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Ajaccio - Orleans	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Ajaccio - Laval	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Ajaccio - Angers	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Annecy - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Valenciennes - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.12.23	Mulhouse - Valenciennes	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Pau - Valenciennes	3:1 ✺
02.12.23	Valenciennes - Annecy	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Quevilly - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.04.22	Valenciennes - Ajaccio	0:0
03.12.21	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	0:0
03.04.21	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	3:0
01.12.20	Valenciennes - Ajaccio	1:1
28.02.20	Valenciennes - Ajaccio	0:0
27.09.19	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	2:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
13.08.19	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	4:1

Ajaccio - Valenciennes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide