Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Ajaccio		Laval

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	3.1	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3.1
	2.72	2.79	3.21
	2.6	2.81	3.07	Watch
	2.6	2.75	3.1
	2.78	2.83	3.09	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)	2.73 ↓ (2.87)	3.11 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
35.6%

Draw
34.3%

Laval
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

32.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

32.2%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	38.1%	23.8%

Ajaccio - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Laval will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Quilichini G. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 12. Huard M. 43. Kouassi A. 25. Anziani J. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 4. Barreto M. (C) 27. Kante A. 22. Soumano M.	30. Samassa M. (G) 7. Vargas T. 21. Kouassi C. 23. Tavares Y. 2. Pellenard T. 17. Kokolo W. 14. Tell J. 6. Sanna S. (C) 8. Thomas T. 27. Adeoti J. 9. Camara M.
Substitutes
31. Ayessa J. 21. Chegra I. 40. Contena S. (G) 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 23. Strata T. 11. Toure B.	5. Adilehou M. 20. Cherni A. 34. Faurand-Tournaire A. 39. Goncalves A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 19. Sellouki M. 10. Zohi K.
Coaches
Debes T.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kante A. ⚽, Soumano M. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Bamba A. ⚽,
41', Sanna S. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
43', Tavares Y. 🟨,
45+1', Anziani J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Kante A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
69', Huard M. 🟨,
71', Adeoti J. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
71', Vargas T. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
74', Youssouf M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
82', Kokolo W. ↓, Cherni A. ↑,
82', Tell J. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Toure B. ⚽,
90', Bamba A. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
90+2', Barreto M. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
90+3', Soumano M. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
90+6', Thomas T. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ajaccio will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Laval: Bianda W. (Ankle Injury) Ouaneh P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Toure B. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
08.02.25	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
31.01.25	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Rodez - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Ajaccio - Caen	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Bastia - Ajaccio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWWWL
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
07.02.25	Laval - Annecy	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Pau - Laval	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Laval - Troyes	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Clermont - Laval	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Toulouse - Laval	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.09.24	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1
17.02.24	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1
05.12.23	Ajaccio - Laval	2:0
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Laval - Ajaccio	1:2
French Ligue 2
31.03.17	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1
28.10.16	Ajaccio - Laval	1:3
05.02.16	Laval - Ajaccio	0:0

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