Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Valenciennes		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.5	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.48	3.14	2.21
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.5	3.16	2.23
	3.55	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.4)	3.09 ↑ (2.75)	2.15 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
26.5%

Draw
30.2%

Paris FC
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

30%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Valenciennes - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Paris FC will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diabate L. (G) 2. Linguet A. 4. Cuffaut J. 5. Poha J. 3. Basse S. 8. Foe Ondoa M. 6. Masson J. 7. Knockaert A. 10. Boutoutaou A. 11. Oyewusi M. 9. Jung A.	1. Riou R. (G) 2. Dabila K. 4. Kolodziejczak T. 5. Mbow M. (C) 3. Gaudin J. 10. Kebbal I. 8. Demoncy Y. 6. Camara A. 7. Lukembila J. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 11. Jabbari A.
Substitutes
16. de Clemente I. (G) 17. Diagouraga T. 19. Flamarion 20. Hamache I. 13. Kayi Sanda J. 14. Lilepo M. 12. Moore T. 18. Venema N. 15. Woudenberg L.	15. Colau D. 19. Dembele S. 18. Doucet L. 16. Filipovic I. (G) 12. Gory A. 14. Mandouki C. 13. Oualengbe Y. 17. Pannafit F.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Gilli S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1.

Recent matches Valenciennes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paris FC is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valenciennes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paris FC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
13.01.24	Valenciennes - Amiens	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Sarreguemines - Valenciennes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Valenciennes - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.12.23	Mulhouse - Valenciennes	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
13.01.24	Paris FC - Annecy	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Olympique Alès - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Paris FC - Quevilly	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Valenciennes - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
05.12.23	Paris FC - Rodez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Valenciennes - Paris FC	0:1
01.04.23	Valenciennes - Paris FC	4:5
Coupe De France
06.01.23	Paris FC - Valenciennes	3:1
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Paris FC - Valenciennes	0:1
30.04.22	Paris FC - Valenciennes	1:1
11.12.21	Valenciennes - Paris FC	1:4
26.01.21	Valenciennes - Paris FC	2:0

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