Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports


	Auxerre		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.56	3.99	6.78
	1.56	3.99	6.78
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.55	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.56	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)	3.84 ↑ (3.62)	6.2 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
60.4%

Draw
24.4%

Ajaccio
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

25.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Auxerre - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 17. Sinayoko L. 19. Aye F.	16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 2. Chanot M. 5. Vidal C. 3. Quemper S. 6. Mangani T. (C) 10. Bammou Y. 38. Chegra I. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 19. Jacob V. 9. Touzghar Y.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 13. Akpa C. 28. Camara O. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 45. Onaiwu A.	17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 35. Khelifa A. 37. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 18. Soumano M. 31. Strata T. 11. Toure B.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Pantaloni O.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 2.

Auxerre in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Auxerre have a series of guest games.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Auxerre to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Saint-Meziery - Auxerre	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Concarneau - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Auxerre - Quevilly	3:2 ✺
25.11.23	Bastia - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Le Pays du Valois - Auxerre	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTW
- AC Ajaccio
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Ajaccio - Orleans	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Ajaccio - Laval	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Ajaccio - Angers	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Annecy - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.23	Toulouse Métropole - Ajaccio	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
09.04.23	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:3
30.10.22	Auxerre - Ajaccio	1:0
French Ligue 2
28.01.22	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0
07.08.21	Auxerre - Ajaccio	0:0
05.02.21	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:0
03.10.20	Auxerre - Ajaccio	5:1
07.02.20	Ajaccio - Auxerre	2:3

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