Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Nizhny Novgorod Stadium (Nizhny Novgorod)

Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2


	Nizhny Novgorod		Zenit

	1	X	2
	9.68	5.17	1.34
	8.71	4.92	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.2 ↓ (9.55)	5.05 ↓ (5.19)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
10.5%

Draw
19.2%

Zenit
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.9%

18.3%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.6%

17.8%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zenit (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zenit will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (C) 2. Aleksandrov V. 24. Farina E. 25. Karic S. 6. Sarfo A. 3. Koledin Y. 77. Ivlev A. 29. Ticic L. 70. Shnaptsev M. 27. Grulev V. 88. Lesovoy D.	16. Adamov D. (G) 31. Gustavo Mantuan 25. Erakovic S. 33. Nino 66. Vega R. 5. Barrios W. (C) 8. Wendel 10. Glushenkov M. 9. Gerson 11. Luiz Henrique 7. Sobolev A.
Substitutes
21. Cephas R. 52. Chistyakov A. 19. Ermakov N. 78. Kalinski N. 51. Koshkin E. (G) 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 32. Pigas V.	23. Adamov A. 28. Alip N. 21. Erokhin A. 32. Gondou L. 4. Gorshkov Y. 41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 61. Kondakov D. 1. Latyshonok E. (G) 18. Mikhailov Y. 17. Mostovoy A.
Coaches
Shpilevski A.	Semak S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Wendel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Glushenkov M. ⚽, Luiz Henrique (A),
57', Gerson 🟨,
64', Grulev V. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Wendel ⚽,
74', Wendel ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
74', Ivlev A. ↓, Ermakov N. ↑,
82', Glushenkov M. ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
83', Sobolev A. ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
90', Vega R. ↓, Gorshkov Y. ↑,
90', Gerson ↓, Mikhailov Y. ↑,
90+1', Shnaptsev M. ↓, Pigas V. ↑,
90+1', Ticic L. ↓, Kalinski N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 0.

Pari NN is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zenit is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pari NN may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zenit has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zenit is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Zenit: Cassierra M. (Leg Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury) Santos D. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 4:23. (average 0.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Zenit - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 71.81%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
08.11.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	CSKA Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.10.25	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	4:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTLL
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
09.11.25	Krylya Sovetov - Zenit	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
05.11.25	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	1:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.11.25	Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
22.10.25	Zenit - Orenburg	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
30.08.25	Zenit - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0
04.05.25	Zenit - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1
31.08.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit	0:3
09.12.23	Zenit - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0
22.07.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit	0:2
04.03.23	Zenit - Nizhny Novgorod	3:0
16.10.22	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit	0:3

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