Match Info

Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Akron Tolyatti		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.26	3.98	1.82
	4.30	4.00	1.75
	4.17	3.86	1.88	Watch
	3.70	3.60	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.64)	3.86 ↑ (3.37)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
23.1%

Draw
24.6%

Lokomotiv Moscow
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.3%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Lokomotiv Moscow aligns with the current prediction.

Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Akron (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 47. Vedernikov E. 3. Paulo Vitor 80. Khosonov K. 89. Popenkov D. 67. Platon N. 8. Bistrovic K. 15. Loncar S. (C) 69. Dmitriev A. 39. Makeev N. 81. Bazilevskiy N.	22. Lantratov I. (G) 24. Nenakhov M. 85. Morozov E. 23. Montes C. (C) 45. Silyanov A. 6. Babkin S. 47. Godyaev D. 7. Bakaev Z. 88. Shchetinin M. 19. Rudenko A. 11. Rakov V.
Substitutes
13. Bardybakhin V. 7. Benchimol 11. Dudu 26. Escoval R. 88. Gudiev V. (G) 6. Hovhannisyan K. 72. Khametov M. 33. Kholodov M. 22. Maradishvili K. 2. Rocha Y. 98. Volochay R. (G)	74. Chevardin D. 75. Eremeev I. 63. Golubev V. 8. Kovalenko A. 3. Lucas Fasson 1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 9. Pinyaev S. 59. Pogostnov E. 17. Saltykov N. 16. Veselov D. (G)
Coaches
Blagojevic S.	Galaktionov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Loncar S. 🟨,
37', Babkin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Loncar S. ↓, Bardybakhin V. ↑,
46', Bistrovic K. ↓, Maradishvili K. ↑,
46', Shchetinin M. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
52', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
58', Rakov V. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
58', Bakaev Z. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
58', Nenakhov M. ↓, Chevardin D. ↑,
62', Morozov E. 🟨,
67', Platon N. ↓, Hovhannisyan K. ↑,
67', Bazilevskiy N. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
73', Rudenko A. 🟨,
76', Benchimol ↓, Dudu ↑,
80', Rudenko A. ↓, Golubev V. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 0.

Akron has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lokomotiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Akron won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Lokomotiv Moscow: 1.82% Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 49.43%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
28.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TLWTT
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.08.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:0
Russian Premier League
22.03.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	5:1
26.10.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
16.09.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:3
28.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	2:0
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:4

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