Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 6
France	DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Portugal	Sport TV3, Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
World	Onefootball


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.36
	6.5	5.5	1.38
	6.1	5.15	1.39
	6.54	5.41	1.39
	6.38	5.13	1.4	Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.4
	6.73	5.28	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↓ (6.41)	5.15 ↑ (4.9)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
14.7%

Draw
18.1%

Al-Qadisiya
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

18.8%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

17.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 70. Khateeb A. A. 4. Hendry J. 5. Calvo F. 61. Al Otaibi R. 11. Duda O. 10. Medran A. 15. Nkota M. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 17. Al Ghannam K. 9. Dembele M.	1. Casteels K. (G) 40. Mahnashi I. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 5. Weigl J. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 8. Nandez N. 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 32. Retegui M. 33. Quinones J.
Substitutes
6. Al Ghamdi F. 7. Ali M. 33. Al Olayan M. 87. Al Sibyani M. 12. Dahal A. 22. Hawswi (G) 37. Hindi A. 3. Madu A. 20. Maghfori A.	13. Abdulaziz Al Jwayzan A. 7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 90. Al Yuhaybi A. 19. Asiri H. 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 24. Qasem M.
Coaches
Al Shehri S.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Khateeb A. A. ↓, Al Olayan M. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
35', Abu Al Shamat M. 🟥,
38', Duda O. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Hendry J. ⚽, Medran A. (A),
42', Retegui M. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
45+1', Calvo F. 🟨,
45+6', Dembele M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Dembele M. ⚽, Al Otaibi R. (A),
65', Alvarez G. 🟨,
73', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
74', 3 - 1, Wijnaldum G. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Mahnashi I. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
83', Dembele M. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Quinones J. ⚽,
88', Nkota M. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
88', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Madu A. ↑,
90+7', Quinones J. 🟨,
90+10', Alvarez G. 🟥,
90+10', Ali M. 🟨,
90+11', Bonsu Baah C. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

Al-Ettifaq is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Qadisiya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ettifaq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
13.03.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Al Hazem - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:1 ✺
23.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLW
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
13.03.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0 ✺
20.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
23.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0
05.04.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1
02.11.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	0:2
10.04.21	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	1:3

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