Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 31

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.75
	1.65	4.1	4.5
	1.58	4.25	4.85
	1.54	4.4	5.09
	1.55	4.47	4.93
	1.53	3.9	4.6
	1.57	4.36	4.93
	1.63	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	4.21 ↑ (3.9)	4.73 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
58.6%

Draw
21.9%

Al-Najma
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

20.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ettifaq Dammam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Najma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 15. Nkota M. 33. Al Olayan M. 70. Khateeb A. A. 18. Costa J. 5. Calvo F. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 10. Medran A. 11. Duda O. 17. Al Ghannam K. 9. Dembele M.	1. Victor Braga (G) 66. Al Essa S. 4. Al Haleel N. 33. Al Fatil M. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 27. Al Subaie K. 18. Al Harabi A. 80. Dunga N. 14. Jasim A. 70. Felippe Cardoso 7. Lazaro
Substitutes
6. Al Ghamdi F. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 7. Ali M. 87. Al Sibyani M. 22. Hawswi (G) 37. Hindi A. 24. Jalal Al Salem 3. Madu A. 20. Maghfori A.	77. Al Dubais H. 87. Al Enezi W. (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 6. Al Shammari K. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 11. Dawran M. M. Y. 16. Guga 75. Sharrahi M. 43. Tijanic D.
Coaches
Al Shehri S.	El Maestro N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Lazaro 🟨,
21', Al Haleel N. 🟨,
40', Dunga N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Jasim A. ↓, Tijanic D. ↑,
70', Lazaro ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
70', Al Essa S. ↓, Al Hawsawi A. ↑,
70', Nkota M. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
81', Al Olayan M. ↓, Al Sibyani M. ↑,
90+7', Medran A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al-Najma is Relegated to Division 1

Al-Ettifaq has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Najma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Ettifaq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ettifaq is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ettifaq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
30.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
15.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLWL
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
28.04.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Najma	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	Al-Najma - Al-Taawoun	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Najma - Neom	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Najma	5:2 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Najma - Damac	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
08.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:4

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