Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 29

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Al-Najma		Al-Taawoun

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.5
	5.3	4.35	1.52
	5.56	4.37	1.56
	5.46	4.44	1.53
	4.8	3.9	1.5
	5.19	4.25	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (4.32)	4.2 ↑ (3.9)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
17.8%

Draw
22.1%

Al-Taawoun
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

23.6%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

23.1%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Taawoun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Al Najma - Al Taawoun Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Taawoun: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Braga (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 33. Al Fatil M. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 2. Vitao 98. Boutobba B. 18. Al Harabi A. 80. Dunga N. 16. Guga 7. Lazaro 70. Felippe Cardoso	1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 3. Andrei Girotto 87. Lajami Q. 55. Al Dossari M. 8. Flavio 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 11. Fulgini A. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 88. Petkov M.
Substitutes
77. Al Dubais H. 66. Al Essa S. 4. Al Haleel N. 22. Al Muqaitib K. (G) 6. Al Shammari K. 8. Al Shammeri A. 27. Al Subaie K. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 11. Dawran M. M. Y.	2. Al Alaeli M. 66. Al Hurayji B. 15. Al Qahtani M. 97. Al Rashidi F. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 20. Biel 77. Hawsawi A. 74. Rajab S.
Coaches
El Maestro N.	Chamusca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Vitao (Own goal),
36', Flavio 🟨,
45+2', Al Harabi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Al Harabi A. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
57', Al Dossari M. 🟨,
59', Dunga N. 🟨,
63', 0 - 2, Petkov M. ⚽, Al Kuwaykibi M. (A),
75', Petkov M. ↓, Hawsawi A. ↑,
75', Fulgini A. ↓, Biel ↑,
76', Vitao ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
76', Lazaro ↓, Al Subaie K. ↑,
81', Al Dossari M. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Samir Caetano ⚽, Al Dubais H. (A),
85', Boutobba B. ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
90+5', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Rajab S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).

Al-Najma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Taawoun has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Taawoun is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
11.04.26	Al-Najma - Neom	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Najma	5:2 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Najma - Damac	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Najma	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL
- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
11.04.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Taawoun	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Neom - Al-Taawoun	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
29.12.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Najma	1:0

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