Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 19

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Asia	JACO Middle East
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong-kong	on.cc
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.33	5.15	7.5
	1.31	5.74	8.09
	1.32	5.6	7.8	Watch
	1.3	5	7
	1.34	6.01	8.44	Watch
	1.32	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.47)	5.37 ↑ (4.55)	7.76 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
70.7%

Draw
17.3%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

20.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahli Jeddah's performance.

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +2.5 - Al-Ettifaq (1.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -2 - Al-Ahli (2.50) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Al-Ahli (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Al-Ettifaq (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (C) 29. Abdulrahman M. 46. Hamidou R. 3. Ibanez 13. Galeno 30. Al Johani Z. 79. Kessie F. 6. Atangana V. 7. Mahrez R. 17. Toney I. 10. Millot E.	1. Rodak M. (G) 70. Khateeb A. A. 4. Hendry J. 5. Calvo F. 61. Al Otaibi R. 18. Costa J. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 7. Ali M. 6. Al Ghamdi F. 9. Dembele M. 17. Al Ghannam K.
Substitutes
47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 26. Al Zubaidi Y. 60. Madani Y. 5. Sulaiman M.	60. Abdulrahman N. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 33. Al Olayan M. 87. Al Sibyani M. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 22. Hawsawi A. (G) 37. Hindi A. 3. Madu A. 15. Nkota M.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Al Shehri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Hendry J. ↓, Al Sibyani M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Al Sibyani M. 🟨,
56', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Nkota M. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Atangana V. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
65', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
70', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Abdulrahman N. ↑,
71', Dembele M. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
71', Costa J. ↓, Al Ghamdi Z. ↑,
72', Hamidou R. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
73', Millot E. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Mahrez R. ↓, Madani Y. ↑,
85', Toney I. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 1.

Al-Ahli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Ettifaq is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Ettifaq may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.

We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:28. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ahli SC	8	5	0	3	20:10	10	15
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.55%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
24.01.26	Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Khaleej	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
24.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
12.09.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0
22.05.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3
20.01.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2
29.03.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:2
30.09.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:0
04.03.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:0
16.10.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0

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