Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Malaysia	SPOTV
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 5
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Al Fateh		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.33
	7.1	5.5	1.32
	7.94	6.38	1.31
	7.89	6.25	1.29	Watch
	6	5.5	1.29
	8.6	5.66	1.36	Watch
	8	5.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.43 ↓ (8.18)	5.61 ↓ (6.02)	1.31 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
12.5%

Draw
16.6%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

15.3%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Al Fateh - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 44. Fernandes J. 17. Saadane M. 78. Al Swealem A. 33. Youssouf Z. 6. Masoud N. 11. Batna M. (C) 28. Bendebka S. 23. Wesley Delgado 10. Vargas M.	24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 21. Coman K. 17. Al Khaibari A. 11. Brozovic M. 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)
Substitutes
94. Al Anazi A. 22. Al Burayh Mahmoud (G) 98. Al Fawaz A. 4. Al Jari Z. 29. Al Masoud A. 25. Al Sahafi M. 37. Al Sarnoukh M. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 12. Qasim H.	1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 9. Al Hamdan A. 19. Al Hassan A. 83. Al Najdi S. 4. Al Sharari N. 12. Boushal N. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M. 23. Yahya A.
Coaches
Gomes J.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
64', Masoud N. 🟨,
68', Masoud N. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
75', Mane S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
75', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Yahya A. ⚽, Coman K. (A),
86', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
88', Martinez I. 🟨,
90+1', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
90+1', Baattia S. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
90+6', Martinez I. ↓, Al Sharari N. ↑,
90+7', Ronaldo C. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 1.

Al Fateh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Nassr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al Fateh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:45. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	12	19
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
07.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Feiha - Al Fateh	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Kholood	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTTLL
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
AFC Champions League 2
11.02.26	Arkadag - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
06.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
18.10.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	5:1
26.05.25	Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2
26.01.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:1
17.02.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	2:1
25.08.23	Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:5
31.05.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:0
03.02.23	Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:2

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