Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 15

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Fateh		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.8	3.75	3.85
	1.81	3.89	3.93	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.75	3.58	4.03	Watch
	1.8	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.72)	3.65 ↓ (4.03)	3.87 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
51.3%

Draw
25.1%

Al-Riyadh
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

22.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Al Fateh - Al Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Fateh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 44. Fernandes J. 55. Al Hamad F. 23. Wesley Delgado 4. Al Jari Z. 6. Masoud N. 11. Batna M. (C) 33. Youssouf Z. 94. Al Anazi A. 10. Vargas M.	82. Borjan M. (C) 17. Hassoun A. 23. Al Khaibari M. 5. Barbet Y. 7. Al Boardi O. 20. Toze 19. Soro I. 8. Bayesh I. 10. Okou T. 9. Sylla M. 16. Sahlouli M.
Substitutes
80. Al Abdulwahed F. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 98. Al Fawaz A. 29. Al Masoud A. 25. Al Sahihi M. 37. Al Sarnoukh M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 12. Qasim H.	11. Al Absi K. 15. Al Bishi N. 33. Al Harfi A. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 45. Bahri E. H. A. 99. Harun S. 87. Tambakti M. H. 6. Zaydan S.
Coaches
Gomes J.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Wesley Delgado ⚽, Batna M. (A),
22', Bayesh I. 🟨,
41', Al Jari Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Wesley Delgado ⚽,
52', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
56', Okou T. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
56', Sahlouli M. ↓, Harun S. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Batna M. ⚽,
64', Al Jari Z. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
64', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
78', Hassoun A. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
80', Wesley Delgado ↓, Qasim H. ↑,
80', Al Anazi A. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Toze ⚽, Al Shehri Y. (A),
86', Soro I. ↓, Bahri E. H. A. ↑,
86', Al Boardi O. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+1', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
90+1', Batna M. ↓, Al Abdulwahed F. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Al Fateh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al Fateh is a strong favorite.

We predict that Al Fateh will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Al Riyadh: 0.62% Al Fateh: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
10.01.26	Neom - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
29.11.25	Al-Hilal - Al Fateh	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WWWWL
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
10.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	4:0 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Hazem	1:2 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	2:0
Saudi Professional League
23.04.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh	2:2
28.11.24	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	1:2
02.05.24	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	2:2
09.11.23	Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:1

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