Match Info

Super Cup UAE / Qatar - Final

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	Disney+, ESPN


	Al-Gharafa		Al-Sharjah

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.55	2.98
	2.19	3.95	2.78	Watch
	2.38	4	2.25
	2.04	4.19	2.93
	2.05	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	3.8 ↓ (3.9)	2.81 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
42.8%

Draw
24.3%

Al-Sharjah
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

23.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

23%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Al-Sharjah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sharjah than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Al Gharafa - Al Sharjah Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Al-Gharafa (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 23. Fadlalla S. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 42. Sano S. 13. Sassi F. 18. Al Oui A. 29. Diaz F. 12. Normann M. 7. Coman F. 9. Joselu 8. Brahimi Y. (C)	40. Al Hosani A. (G) 19. Khaled Ebraheim 4. Abdulrahman S. (C) 6. Suroor M. 33. Prijovic V. 24. Rashid M. 8. Poblete G. 20. Cho Yu-Min 7. Caio Lucas 11. Luan Pereira 30. Camara O.
Substitutes
26. Al-Ali R. A. 57. Al Khlif Y. M. 17. Boussafi R. 14. Djalo A. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 99. Hamed J. 80. Ktit Z. 40. Lecomte C. (G) 22. Sudarmanto A. 11. Surag A. 6. Traore D.	34. Alhadidi A. 10. Ben Larbi F. 27. Biro 23. Fetai F. 18. Ghanim A. 16. Guarirapa S. 88. Hassan M. 77. Igor Coronado 22. Meloni M. 26. Mohamed D. (G) 15. Suhail H. 1. Tawhid K. (G)
Coaches
Martins P.	Morais J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Khaled Ebraheim 🟨,
39', Diaz F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Normann M. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Coman F. ⚽, Djalo A. (A),
71', Suroor M. ↓, Ben Larbi F. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Luan Pereira ⚽, Rashid M. (A),
83', Al Oui A. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
87', Camara O. ↓, Suhail H. ↑,
90+4', Rashid M. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Joselu (Penalty Awarded),
1, Caio Lucas (Penalty Awarded),
2, Brahimi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ben Larbi F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sassi F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Luan Pereira (Penalty Awarded),
4, Coman F. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Poblete G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Jang Hyun-Soo (Penalty Awarded),
5, Igor Coronado (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Sharjah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Gharafa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL Cup
19.01.26	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	3:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
15.01.26	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW
- Al-Sharjah
UAE Football League
18.01.26	Al-Sharjah - Ittihad Kalba	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Sharjah - Al Bataeh	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Wahda - Al-Sharjah	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	2:4 ✺
02.01.26	Al Ain - Al-Sharjah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
15.09.25	Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa	4:3

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