Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: MRSOOL Park (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Germany	Sport 1+


	Al-Hilal		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.6	4.3
	1.74	3.79	4.78
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.77	3.74	4.45	Watch
	1.8	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.07)	3.58 ↑ (3.27)	4.44 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
53%

Draw
26%

Urawa Red Diamonds
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Urawa Red Diamonds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Urawa Red Diamonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Hilal - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Al-Hilal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Hilal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi King Cup
23.04.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.04.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Al-Batin - Al-Hilal	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Taee	2:2 ✺
07.04.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTL
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
23.04.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.04.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Consadole Sapporo	4:1 ✺
09.04.23	Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
05.04.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
24.11.19	Urawa Red Diamonds - Al-Hilal	0:2
09.11.19	Al-Hilal - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
25.11.17	Urawa Red Diamonds - Al-Hilal	1:0
18.11.17	Al-Hilal - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1

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