Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 23

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Kholood		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.88
	2.2	3.4	2.98
	2.29	3.55	3.04
	2.14	3.62	3.13	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.8
	2.34	3.62	3.06
	2.22	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)	3.47 ↓ (3.74)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
42%

Draw
26.8%

Al-Riyadh
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

24.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Al Kholood - Al Riyadh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Kholood (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Kholood will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Shammari M. (G) 23. Gyomber N. 3. Utkus E. 25. Camara M. 46. Al Aliwa A. 39. Al Dawsari A. 6. Buckley J. 38. Pinas S. 10. Kortajarena I. 11. Bahebri H. (C) 18. Enrique R.	82. Borjan M. (G) 7. Al Boardi O. 23. Al Khaibari M. 5. Barbet Y. 80. Al Khaibari A. I. (C) 20. Toze 27. Lekhal V. 35. Al Siyahi A. 77. Antunes L. 10. Okou T. 98. Sali E.
Substitutes
24. Adi A. 12. Al Asmari H. 4. Al Dosari J. 7. Al Shehri S. 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 99. Guga 52. Jaman R. 19. Khalifah M. 70. Sawan M.	11. Al Absi K. 33. Al Harfi A. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 94. Al Sobhi F. 4. Gonzalez S. 99. Haroun S. 17. Hassoun A. 12. Hazazi S.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Dulac M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Okou T. ⚽, Sali E. (A),
6', 0 - 2, Antunes L. ⚽, Okou T. (A),
42', Okou T. 🟨,
45', Sali E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
55', Al Dawsari A. ↓, Sawan M. ↑,
59', Kortajarena I. 🟨,
73', Sali E. ↓, Hazazi S. ↑,
73', Al Siyahi A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
75', Kortajarena I. ↓, Guga ↑,
76', Toze ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
84', Camara M. ↓, Khalifah M. ↑,
86', Okou T. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Al-Kholood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kholood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Al Kholood	8	3	3	2	12:15	-3	12
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
14.02.26	Al-Najma - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Damac - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLL
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
14.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Khaleej	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Neom - Al-Riyadh	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:0
08.02.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Riyadh	3:2
29.08.24	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	3:1
Saudi Division 1
31.01.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:1
30.08.22	Al-Kholood - Al-Riyadh	1:0

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