Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 21

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Neom		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	7
	1.5	4.4	5.75
	1.42	4.55	6.5
	1.41	5	6.8
	1.42	4.95	6.38	Watch
	1.36	4.33	6
	1.46	5.03	6.92	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	4.66 ↑ (4.01)	6.48 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
65.6%

Draw
20%

Al-Riyadh
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neom's performance.

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Neom - Al Riyadh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Neom will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Maximiano L. (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 26. Hegazy A. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 24. Noor A. 7. Al Surnukh M. (C) 72. Kone A. 10. Benrahma S. 91. Lacazette A. 19. Rodriguez L.	82. Borjan M. (G) 7. Al Boardi O. 23. Al Khaibari M. 4. Gonzalez S. 80. Al Khaibari A. I. (C) 10. Okou T. 35. Al Siyahi A. 27. Lekhal V. 88. Al Shehri Y. 9. Sylla M. 77. Antunes L.
Substitutes
71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 2. Al Burayk M. 18. Al Haji A. 93. Al Saluli A. 95. Fallatah A. 27. Hawsawi I. 1. Malayekah M. (G)	11. Al Absi K. 33. Al Harfi A. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 99. Haroun S. 17. Hassoun A. 12. Hazazi S. 98. Sali E. 87. Tambakti M. H.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Al Khaibari A. I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Lacazette A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
59', Al Shehri Y. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
62', Noor A. ↓, Al Burayk M. ↑,
65', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
73', Al Siyahi A. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
73', Okou T. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
74', Al Faraj S. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
75', Rodriguez L. ↓, Fallatah A. ↑,
77', Sylla M. 🟨,
84', Abdu A. 🟨,
86', Haroun S. 🟨,
88', Al Khaibari A. I. ↓, Hazazi S. ↑,
90+1', Al Dawsari K. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
90+1', Benrahma S. ↓, Hawsawi I. ↑,
90+1', Borjan M. 🟨,
90+4', Al Harfi A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Neom has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Riyadh is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Neom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neom is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
02.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Neom	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Neom - Damac	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Neom - Al-Hilal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLTL
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
02.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
27.09.25	Al-Riyadh - Neom	2:3

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