Match Info

Stars League - Round 34

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Al-Minaa		Karbala

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.2	4.7
	1.67	3.3	5.08
	1.75	3.29	4.7	Watch
	1.8	3.23	4.94	Watch
	1.74	3.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	4.82 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
52.7%

Draw
28.3%

Karbala
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Al Minaa - Karbala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ahmed S. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Hamid A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 2 - 1, Tarek A. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Abdulzahra A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Al-Minaa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karbala has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Minaa is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Minaa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
14.05.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
08.05.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Al-Karma - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTWLW
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
13.05.25	Karbala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:4 ✺
06.05.25	Al-Talaba - Karbala	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Karbala - Arbil	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Duhok - Karbala	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Karbala - Al-Qasim	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
25.10.24	Karbala - Al-Minaa	1:0
21.04.24	Al-Minaa - Karbala	1:1
29.12.23	Karbala - Al-Minaa	1:2

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