Match Info

Stars League - Round 32

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Al-Talaba		Karbala

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.59	3.6	5.2
	1.52	3.57	6.14
				Watch
	1.45	3.66	7.25	Watch
	1.59	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.69)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	5.91 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
59.4%

Draw
25.2%

Karbala
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Talaba's performance.

Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Al Talaba - Karbala Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Talaba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Al-Talaba (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Talaba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Amutu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Amutu A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Talaba is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karbala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Talaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Talaba is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Talaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
02.05.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Talaba	1:4 ✺
28.04.25	Al-Talaba - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Al-Naft - Al-Talaba	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTWT
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
02.05.25	Karbala - Arbil	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Duhok - Karbala	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Karbala - Al-Qasim	3:3 ✺
17.04.25	Najaf - Karbala	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	Karbala - Zakho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
29.01.25	Karbala - Al-Talaba	0:2
20.12.23	Al-Talaba - Karbala	0:0
26.04.13	Al-Talaba - Karbala	2:1

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