Match Info

Stars League - Round 25

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Al-Karkh		Al-Minaa

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.88	3.2
	2.11	2.9	3.49
	2.15	2.95	3.46	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.4
	2.12	2.88	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)	2.87 ↓ (3.04)	3.42 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
42.3%

Draw
31.4%

Al-Minaa
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

30.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Al Karkh - Al Minaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Soro Nanga M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Karkh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Karkh - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
26.03.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Karkh - Duhok	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLWW
- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
25.03.26	Al-Minaa - Duhok	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Minaa - Diyala	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Arbil - Al-Minaa	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Najaf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	0:2
14.05.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	1:1
04.10.24	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	1:2
06.04.24	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	1:3
11.12.21	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	1:1
09.04.21	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	2:1
12.12.20	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	2:2

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