Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Qadisiya		Al-Taawoun

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.36	4.95	6.9
	1.37	5.28	7.32
	1.37	5.24	6.97	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6
	1.42	5.26	7.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	5.04 ↑ (5.02)	7.03 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
68.1%

Draw
18.6%

Al-Taawoun
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

17.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Qadisiya - Al Taawoun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Al-Taawoun (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Taawoun (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (G) 23. Al Ahmad W. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 8. Nandez N. 5. Weigl J. 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 32. Retegui M. 33. Quinones J.	1. Mailson (G) 66. Al Hurayji B. 55. Al Dossari M. 87. Lajami Q. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 88. Petkov M. 11. Fulgini A. 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 8. Flavio 20. Biel 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B.
Substitutes
7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 19. Asiri H. 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I. 4. Thakri J.	44. Al Harbi A. 70. Al Qahtani K. 15. Al Qahtani M. 97. Al Rashidi F. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 77. Hawsawi A. 74. Rajab S. 6. Victor Hugo
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Chamusca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Petkov M. ⚽, Fulgini A. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Retegui M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Biel 🟨,
72', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
73', Al Hurayji B. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
77', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
77', Al Ahmad W. ↓, Thakri J. ↑,
81', Retegui M. 🟨,
88', Biel ↓, Rajab S. ↑,
89', Fulgini A. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 2.

Al-Qadisiya is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Taawoun's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Al-Qadisiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
23.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0 ✺
20.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	2:4 ✺
12.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Neom	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW
- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
24.02.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Feiha	2:3 ✺
12.02.26	Damac - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Khaleej	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
01.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:0
11.05.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	0:1
11.01.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	0:3
Saudi King Cup
07.01.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	0:3
24.09.23	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:0
15.03.21	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:1
Saudi Professional League
13.02.21	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	0:2

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