Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 26

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Neom		Al-Taawoun

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.6
	2.38	3.35	2.72
	2.46	3.58	2.75
	2.34	3.65	2.76	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.5
	2.58	3.47	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)	2.69 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
38.3%

Draw
27.3%

Al-Taawoun
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Neom - Al Taawoun Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Neom (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Maximiano L. (G) 2. Al Burayk M. (C) 4. Al Dawsari K. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 80. Messi R. 8. Doucoure A. 72. Kone A. 10. Benrahma S. 91. Lacazette A. 19. Rodriguez L.	1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 3. Andrei Girotto 87. Lajami Q. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 88. Petkov M. 8. Flavio 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 20. Biel 11. Fulgini A. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B.
Substitutes
71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 7. Al Faraj S. 18. Al Haji A. 88. Al Hakim M. (G) 93. Al Saluli A. 95. Fallatah A. 27. Hawsawi I. 1. Malayekah M. (G)	2. Al Alaeli M. 55. Al Dossari M. 66. Al Hurayji B. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 70. Al Qahtani K. 15. Al Qahtani M. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 77. Hawsawi A.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Chamusca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Doucoure A. (A),
42', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
45+1', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', Flavio 🟨,
68', Petkov M. ↓, Al Kuwaykibi M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, El Mahdioui A. (A),
76', 2 - 1, Lacazette A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
78', Andrei Girotto 🟨,
79', Messi R. ↓, Al Haji A. ↑,
81', Lacazette A. 🟨,
85', Benrahma S. ↓, Fallatah A. ↑,
87', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
87', Biel ↓, Al Qahtani K. ↑,
89', Fulgini A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Al Kuwaykibi M. ⚽, El Mahdioui A. (A),
90+5', Lacazette A. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
90+6', Kone A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).

Neom has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Taawoun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Neom has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Neom SC	10	5	1	4	14:9	5	16
17	Al Taawon	10	0	4	6	4:17	-13	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
07.03.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Neom - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Al-Feiha - Neom	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Neom	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Neom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWL
- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
06.03.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Feiha	2:3 ✺
12.02.26	Damac - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
23.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Neom	1:1

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