Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Neom		Al-Kholood

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	4.1
	1.88	3.45	3.85
	1.93	3.55	4.05
	1.8	3.84	4.05	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.94	3.4	4.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.55)	3.47 ↓ (4.11)	4.03 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
49.8%

Draw
27%

Al-Kholood
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.7%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

22.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neom's form might have worsened.

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Kholood's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Kholood, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neom - Al Kholood Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Al-Kholood (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Maximiano L. (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 26. Hegazy A. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 7. Al Faraj S. (C) 72. Kone A. 18. Al Haji A. 80. Messi R. 91. Lacazette A. 19. Rodriguez L.	31. Cozzani J. (G) 23. Gyomber N. 3. Utkus E. 38. Pinas S. 7. Al Shehri S. 39. Al Dawsari A. 6. Buckley J. 10. Kortajarena I. 18. Enrique R. 46. Al Aliwa A. 11. Bahebri H. (C)
Substitutes
71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 2. Al Burayk M. 93. Al Saluli A. 47. Al Shanqeeti Y. 10. Benrahma S. 95. Fallatah A. 27. Hawsawi I. 1. Malayekah M. (G)	24. Adi A. 12. Al Asmari H. 4. Al Dosari J. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 52. Jaman R. 19. Khalifah M. 96. N'Doram K. 70. Sawan M.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Buckingham D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Bahebri H. ⚽, Buckley J. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Messi R. ⚽, Abdi F. (A),
26', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
28', Buckley J. 🟨,
37', Hegazy A. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
39', 1 - 2, Bahebri H. ⚽, Pinas S. (A),
45+2', Abdi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
89', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Kholood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neom has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neom is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16
8	Al Kholood	8	3	3	2	12:15	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
25.02.26	Al-Feiha - Neom	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Neom	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Neom	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Neom - Al-Riyadh	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Neom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWT
- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
24.02.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Kholood	2:3 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Riyadh	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Al-Najma - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Damac - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
30.10.25	Al-Kholood - Neom	2:3

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