Match Info

Stars League - Round 30

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Al-Qasim		Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

	1	X	2
	3.79	2.69	2.22
	3.83	2.66	2.22	Watch
	3.77	2.67	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.66)	2.67 ↓ (2.78)	2.21 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qasim
24.2%

Draw
34.3%

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

32.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

31.8%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Al Qasim - Al Quwa Al Jawiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Jawad M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Qasim won 2.

Al-Qasim is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Al-Qasim won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
22.04.25	Karbala - Al-Qasim	3:3 ✺
18.04.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Arbil - Al-Qasim	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Al-Qasim - Newroz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTTWW
- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
21.04.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	3:0 ✺
16.04.25	Diyala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Cup
26.02.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	2:1
Iraqi Premier League
18.01.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	0:1
04.07.24	Al-Qasim - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1
23.02.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	Al Quwa Al Jawiya awarded
18.03.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	3:4
08.12.20	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	1:1

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