Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports Extra 1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Rayyan		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	5.8	4.1	1.47
	6.98	4.63	1.45
	6.49	4.59	1.44
	6.5	4.2	1.44
	6.86	4.6	1.45
	5.8	4.1	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (4.27)	4.37 ↑ (4.07)	1.45 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Rayyan
14.6%

Draw
21.3%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

22.9%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Rayyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Rayyan's form might have worsened.

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Rayyan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Al Rayyan - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Paulo Victor (G) 2. Naji M. 13. Amaro A. 5. Garcia D. 3. Ahmed H. 6. Hatem A. (C) 23. Thiago Mendes 17. Surag M. 10. Roger Guedes 33. Mahajna A. 90. Romarinho	16. Mendy E. (G) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 32. Dams M. 79. Kessie F. 24. Veiga G. 7. Mahrez R. 10. Roberto Firmino (C) 13. Galeno 99. Toney I.
Substitutes
44. Al Hadhrami N. 20. Ali 9. Al Rawi A. 21. Bahzad H. 92. Bareiro A. 22. Beldi S. (G) 62. Brenet J. 11. Gabriel Pereira 55. Saleh M. 7. Tabata R. 1. Younes F. (G)	15. Al Ammar A. 9. Al Buraikan F. 11. Alexsander 77. Alioski E. 30. Al Johani Z. 29. Al Majhad M. 14. Al Muwallad E. 8. Al Nabit S. 19. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 46. Hamidou R. 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Galeno ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
34', 0 - 2, Mahrez R. ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
45+2', Amaro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Kessie F. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
62', Mahajna A. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
68', Romarinho ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
68', Surag M. ↓, Al Rawi A. ↑,
71', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Roger Guedes ⚽, Al Rawi A. (A),
80', Thiago Mendes ↓, Al Hadhrami N. ↑,
86', Veiga G. 🟨,
86', Veiga G. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
86', Toney I. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Al Buraikan F. ⚽, Galeno (A),
90+7', Roberto Firmino ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
90+7', Galeno ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
90+10', Bareiro A. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Al-Rayyan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Ahli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Ahli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Ahli is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Rayyan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Rayyan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar QSL
27.02.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Arabi Doha	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Rayyan	0:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
08.02.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Al Ain - Al-Rayyan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLLW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
28.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	4:1 ✺
21.02.25	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa	4:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
21.10.24	Al-Rayyan - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2

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