Match Info

QSL - Round 16

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Qatar	Shoof


	Al-Sailiya		Umm-Salal

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.45	2.28
	2.97	3.57	2.31
	2.83	3.74	2.23	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	2.86	3.59	2.27	Watch
	2.45	3.66	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.38)	3.54 ↓ (3.56)	2.3 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sailiya
33.5%

Draw
26.2%

Umm-Salal
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sailiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Sailiya's form might have worsened.

Umm-Salal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umm-Salal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Sailiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umm-Salal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Sailiya - Umm Salal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Umm-Salal will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Umm-Salal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Umm-Salal (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Umm-Salal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Younes F. (G) 3. Holgate M. 55. van der Kaap K. 25. Nani M. 2. Mahmoud A. 13. Amaro D. 6. Al Bistamy M. 11. Tabasideh H. (C) 5. Mohamed A. 22. Dal Bello Fagundes C. D. 27. El Ghazi A.	13. Ashour L. (G) 19. Laidouni N. 22. Udosen E. 37. Diallo A. 2. Fayez A. 6. Aholou J. 32. El Sayed A. 3. Hazaa A. 14. Tannane O. (C) 9. Mance A. 33. Cristo
Substitutes
99. Al Sufiani S. 37. Anani Y. Z. 21. Bahzad H. 7. Eissa M. 1. Fatahy O. (G) 40. Haoot A. Y. 77. Jaad M. 31. Kone A. (G) 67. Osman M. 50. Sayed Y. M. (G) 4. Yahya O. 34. Yasser M.	12. Al Bahnasawi W. 8. Al Hajri S. 11. Al Shammari M. 10. Baidoo M. 4. Issa S. 40. Khaled M. 17. Kouassi J. E. 44. Mahdi Al Mejaba 30. Mohammad J. (G) 21. Saad K. 5. Said F. 15. Tahif A.
Coaches
Al Zein M.	Albes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Cristo ⚽, Fayez A. (A),
45', Udosen E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Al Bistamy M. 🟨,
65', Mahmoud A. 🟨,
67', Fayez A. ↓, Saad K. ↑,
67', El Sayed A. ↓, Said F. ↑,
68', Holgate M. ↓, Haoot A. Y. ↑,
74', Mance A. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
83', Said F. 🟨,
85', Aholou J. ↓, Mahdi Al Mejaba ↑,
85', Cristo ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
86', Al Bistamy M. ↓, Anani Y. Z. ↑,
86', Tabasideh H. ↓, Al Sufiani S. ↑,
87', Laidouni N. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Sailiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sailiya won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Al Sailiya	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sailiya
Qatar Emir Cup
12.02.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sailiya	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
05.02.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Sailiya	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
27.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al Bidda	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWTLW
- Umm-Salal SC
Qatar Emir Cup
15.02.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal	2:4 ✺
Qatar QSL
04.02.26	Umm-Salal - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Arabi Doha	2:4 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al Duhail	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
16.01.26	Al-Shahania - Umm-Salal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
04.10.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	3:1
Qatar QSL
21.09.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	2:1
13.02.23	Al-Sailiya - Umm-Salal	1:1
Qatar QSL Cup
14.10.22	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	1:1
Qatar QSL
24.08.22	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	1:0
19.02.22	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	0:1
31.10.21	Al-Sailiya - Umm-Salal	0:0

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