Match Info

QSL - Round 15

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Falahi S. A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof


	Al-Sailiya		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.75	1.7
	4.42	3.75	1.87
	4.3	3.78	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.8
	4.32	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (4.31)	3.63 ↓ (4)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sailiya
21.8%

Draw
25.5%

Al-Gharafa
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

24.3%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sailiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Al Sailiya - Al Gharafa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Younes F. (G) 11. Tabasideh H. (C) 13. Amaro D. 3. Holgate M. 2. Mahmoud A. 6. Al Bistamy M. 5. Mohamed A. 22. Dal Bello Fagundes C. D. 15. Snana Y. 27. El Ghazi A. 18. Olwan A.	1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 42. Sano S. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 11. Surag A. 18. Al Oui A. 13. Sassi F. 29. Diaz F. 23. Fadlalla S. 7. Coman F. 99. Hamed J. 8. Brahimi Y. (C)
Substitutes
33. Al Omari A. 99. Al Sufiani S. 16. Al Tairi O. 37. Anani Y. Z. 21. Bahzad H. 1. Fatahy O. (G) 77. Jaad M. 31. Kone A. (G) 67. Osman M. 50. Sayed Y. M. (G) 4. Yahya O. 34. Yasser M.	33. Abdulnasir C. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 57. Al Khlif Y. M. 17. Boussafi R. 14. Djalo A. 5. Essam M. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 24. Gunnarsson A. 21. Kahiout H. (G) 22. Sudarmanto A. 6. Traore D.
Coaches
Al Zein M.	Martins P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', El Ghazi A. 🟨,
36', Olwan A. ↓, Al Tairi O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diaz F. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
53', Sano S. 🟨,
57', Fadlalla S. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
57', Hamed J. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
80', Tabasideh H. 🟨,
87', Al Tairi O. ↓, Anani Y. Z. ↑,
90', Tabasideh H. ↓, Yahya O. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Snana Y. ⚽,
90+7', Mahmoud A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 2.

Al-Sailiya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Gharafa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Al-Sailiya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Gharafa is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sailiya won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Gharafa	4	1	1	2	4:8	-4	4
12	Al Sailiya	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sailiya
Qatar QSL
30.01.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Sailiya	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
27.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al Bidda	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
17.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Qatar SC	2:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
10.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Muaither	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLWWW
- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
31.01.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	1:3 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
22.01.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sharjah	1:2 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.01.26	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	3:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
15.01.26	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
17.10.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	0:3
Qatar QSL
12.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	2:0
Qatar QFA Cup
03.03.24	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	3:1
Qatar QSL
29.01.23	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	1:2
02.08.22	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	2:1
10.03.22	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	3:2
29.12.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	3:0

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