Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	ZhiBo8
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX One
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
World	Onefootball


	Al-Qadisiya		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	4.33
	1.55	4.65	4.75
	1.57	4.77	4.78
	1.56	4.71	4.71
	1.53	4.2	4.4
	1.56	4.61	4.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	4.57 ↑ (4.28)	4.62 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
59.7%

Draw
20.2%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

21.6%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Al Qadisiya - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Al-Shabab will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Al-Qadisiya (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 3 - 75%). Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (G) 40. Mahnashi I. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 8. Nandez N. 25. Otavio 12. Al Shahrani Y. 10. Al Juwayr M. 33. Quinones J. 32. Retegui M.	43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 17. Al Thani M. 4. Hoedt W. 3. Al Bulayhi A. 31. Balobaid S. 29. Adli Y. 40. Al Asmari A. 99. Azaizeh A. 10. Carrasco Y. (C) 20. Al Sayyali B. 9. Hamdallah A.
Substitutes
7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 90. Al Yuhaybi A. 19. Asiri H. 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 24. Qasem M. 4. Thakri J.	22. Al Hammami H. 33. Al Mahasneh M. (G) 91. Al Othman A. 27. Al Saqour F. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 6. Al Subiani F. 70. Camara H. 7. Hernandez U. 5. Makki A.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Zekri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Bonsu Baah C. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Azaizeh A. ⚽, Al Sayyali B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Otavio 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Azaizeh A. ⚽, Hamdallah A. (A),
61', Mahnashi I. ↓, Thakri J. ↑,
61', Al Shahrani Y. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
69', Al Ammar T. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
73', Al Sayyali B. ↓, Hernandez U. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Retegui M. ⚽,
76', Hoedt W. 🟥,
79', Azaizeh A. ↓, Al Shwirekh M. ↑,
84', Balobaid S. 🟨,
88', Carrasco Y. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
89', Otavio ↓, Al Yuhaybi A. ↑,
90+2', Marcelo Grohe 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Shabab may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
09.04.26	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Qadisiya	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWT
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
05.04.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	3:5 ✺
23.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
31.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:3
13.02.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:3
15.09.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:1
05.03.21	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:1

Upcoming Matches